EU summit, a chronicle of a death foretold?

Among the items, tomorrow leaders will discuss migration and Greece. Europe is not really ready for none of the hottest topics, and an epic failure is just behind the corner

by Emanuele Bonini

Tomorrow the European leaders are supposed to find a solution on the hottest topic of the EU agenda, but please don't expect any happy ending story. On the contrary, be ready for a chronicle of a death foretold. On Greece everything is put in questions by the so called “Institutions”, who consider the Greek proposal too focused on tax raise rather than cut of public expenditure. The general understanding is Greece will fulfil the parameters requested by creditors, falling in the a new recession due to the unsustainable tax policy. The risk is in few months Greece will need new bail-outs, something both the IMF and the European member States more involved - those who need a parliamentary vote for every assistance programme - don't want.

At the same time the European Commission and the EU member States are fighting on migration. According to the twenty-eight delegations the mandatory quota approch doesn't work, while according to the EU Commission vice-president Frans Timmermans it's true the opposite. «The voluntary approach doesn't work». In Europe all agreed the proposal submitted by the European Commission was not the right solution: twelve member States (Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Portugal, Slovenia, Slovakia, Spain and Hungary) are against the mandatory system of relocation, at least other ten (Austria, Belgium, Cyprus, Finland, France, Germany, Ireland, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Sweden) want to set new conditions and new parameters to estabish the repartition of migrants, and other two countries (Greece and Italy) who would like more asylum seekers to be redistributed. 

Considering migration and Greece will be on the table tomorrow at the European Council meeting, it is possible to see how Europe be unite and how the leaders will arrive at the debate. Right now in Europe there is no convergence, and this the picture the EU is offering to the audience. Tomorrow the failure could be complete.