Tuesday, 19 January 2016

A farewell to Europe

Neither migration nor Renzi. The real problem of the European Union is the lack of mutual trust

by Emanuele Bonini

«There is the real problem that Member State don't trust each other». This sentence alone is enough to explain what is the situation of the European Union today. It has been the first vice-president of the European Commission, Frans Timmermans, the one who told the truth once and for all. Mutual confidence is over, and once this situation is there it becomes very hard to imagine a future. In his interview at RTL Radio France Timmermans talked about more topics, but the lack of confidence is all we need to understand that the problem real problem is not the migrant crisis, neither Italy, nor Poland. The problem is the European Union is a non-entity, because in everyday life once mutual confidence is over, the relation is doomed to collapse. May we believe that people don't trusting each other can work together on migration? When there is no trust anything becomes possible. When a person doesn't trust another person, it is for everything. It is for migration as well as for banking union. If Italy believes the European Commission is acting only to protect certain countries, then something is seriously compromised. With no trust, what could we expect? But this is not just the case of Italy. It is the case of France, Poland, Hungary, Slovakia, and many other. And that's the point, that's where we are. The EU implosion is not so far.

In a situation of deteriorated confidence, the end is never something to come soon. On the contrary, it arrives after a turbulent period where all the players involved complain, fight, accuse and reproach each other all the time. This is exactly what we are experiencing in Europe: Italy blaming the European Commission, Italy complaining with Germany, Poland criticizing the European Commission, the United Kingdom asking new conditions to confirm the EU membership, are all EU domestic problems happening right here and right now. A first round was offered in 2015, when countries from the Euro area started fighting in front off the Greek crisis. Things are not working any longer, and the European crisis is evident. Trying to reduce the situation just to personal question between Jean-Claude Juncker and Matteo Renzi is useless, as it would be assuming that migration is the sources of all the problems. Migration is just one field where, more than other areas, all the divisions and all the internal tensions emerge. Relocation doesn't start because neither Greece nor Italy activate the hotspots, hotspots are not in place because there is no relocation: what France, Germany, Italy and all the other leaders are doing is nothing but to have a guilty to offer to public opinion, and the same happens for all the other dossiers. FTT, Greece, deposit guarantee scheme, migration, Turkey, flexibility: all these are the main battlefields where everything is at stake. And in time of crisis, the only priority is to avoid to be remembered as the one responsible for the end of the story and, in the case of Europe for the demise of European Union.

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